Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nancy vs Montpellier

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Fernandez N.
43'
Meddah D.
57'
Sainte-Luce T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Nancy and Montpellier finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Nancy
35%
Draws
44%
Montpellier
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Montpellier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Montpellier have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nancy Clean Sheet 13%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Montpellier
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Montpellier
0:1
Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Montpellier
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Nancy
4:1
Oct 30, 2019 Coupe de la Ligue
Montpellier vs Nancy
3:2
Feb 11, 2017 Ligue 1
Nancy vs Montpellier
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Issoufou Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 31 / 100
Montpellier 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Montpellier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nancy's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Nancy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Montpellier has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS Montpellier
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1
Montpellier
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0
Nancy
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
01 Aug
Epinal
0 : 0
Nancy
Page 1 of 6

Montpellier

(Away)
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1
Montpellier
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1
Dijon
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2
Rodez
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Montpellier 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Rodez 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
4 Annecy 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Reims 3 1 2 0 6:4 5
6 Metz 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 Red Star 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
9 Nancy 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
10 Laval 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
11 Sochaux 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
12 Guingamp 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 Pau 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
14 Dijon 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
15 Boulogne 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Clermont 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
17 Grenoble 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
18 Nantes 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)