Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nanjing City vs Dingnan Ganlian

China China

League One 2025 Wutaishan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Zhang Zimin
11' Event
Ogbu M.
(Penalty)
37'
Qi Yuxi

AI Match Summary

Nanjing City host Dingnan Ganlian in the League One 2025. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nanjing City at 1.25 goals for, 0.88 against; Dingnan Ganlian at 1.5 for, 2.5 against. Past meetings favor Nanjing City slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring Dingnan Ganlian. Dingnan Ganlian in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nanjing City
22%
Draws
18%
Dingnan Ganlian
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nanjing City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dingnan Ganlian demonstrates higher offensive output (1.5 avg goals) than Nanjing City (1.25 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Nanjing City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League One 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 68%
Dingnan Ganlian Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nanjing City Dingnan Ganlian
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Nanjing City
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 League One
Nanjing City vs Dingnan Ganlian
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Nanjing City
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Nanjing City
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 League One
Nanjing City vs Dingnan Ganlian
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nanjing City Compare

Top Goalscorer Guo Yi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dingnan Ganlian Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nanjing City 68 / 100
Dingnan Ganlian 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nanjing City Dingnan Ganlian

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nanjing City scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Dingnan Ganlian let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nanjing City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dingnan Ganlian lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nanjing City VS Dingnan Ganlian
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013