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Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

League One Wutaishan Stadium, Nanjing
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ardazishvili R.
Assist: Lapoussin L.
36'
Sub
Ngom Mbekeli J. In: Yang He
Out: Ngom Mbekeli J.
46'
Sub
Zhou Y. In: Qurban W.
Out: Zhou Y.

AI Match Summary

Guangxi Hengchen in this League One matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guangxi Hengchen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nanjing City
15%
Draws
85%
Guangxi Hengchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guangxi Hengchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Guangxi Hengchen have won more games recently than Nanjing City.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Guangxi Hengchen taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 10%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nanjing City Guangxi Hengchen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League One
Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Guangxi Hengchen vs Nanjing City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nanjing City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardazishvili R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dai Ming
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nanjing City 18 / 100
Guangxi Hengchen 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nanjing City Guangxi Hengchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangxi Hengchen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nanjing City found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Guangxi Hengchen let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Guangxi Hengchen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nanjing City VS Guangxi Hengchen
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nanjing City

(Home)
19 Sept
Nanjing City
0 : 3
Wuxi Wugou
13 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 1
Nanjing City
06 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 0
Nanjing City
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
23 Aug
Shenzhen Juniors
3 : 1
Nanjing City
Page 1 of 6

Guangxi Hengchen

(Away)
25 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
18 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 24 16 6 2 48:20 54
2 Guangxi Hengchen 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
3 Shenzhen Juniors 24 12 8 4 39:25 44
4 Nantong Zhiyun 24 11 9 4 33:20 42
5 Shaanxi Union 24 10 6 8 38:26 36
6 Yanbian Longding 24 9 8 7 33:27 35
7 Wuxi Wugou 24 9 5 10 36:29 32
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 24 8 7 9 22:25 31
9 Changchun Yatai 24 10 3 11 37:40 29
10 Ningbo Professional 24 9 5 10 27:30 29
11 Dalian Kun City 24 7 8 9 30:36 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 24 7 8 9 28:33 26
13 Dingnan Ganlian 24 4 11 9 35:46 23
14 Nanjing City 24 5 6 13 20:33 21
15 Meizhou Hakka 24 7 3 14 25:50 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 24 2 7 15 24:49 13
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)