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Nantes vs Clermont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
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Match Events

15' Event
Guilbert F.
Assist: Hachem R.
16'
Sub
Sow S. In: Perrin L.
Out: Sow S.
18'
Poirier G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nantes
30%
Draws
23%
Clermont
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nantes have won more games recently than Clermont.
  • Win probability leans Nantes's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nantes Clean Sheet 16%
Clermont Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes Clermont
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 5
Draws 7 14
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 Ligue 2
Nantes vs Clermont
1:1
Jan 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Clermont
1:2
Sep 17, 2023 Ligue 1
Clermont vs Nantes
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 Ligue 1
Clermont vs Nantes
0:0
Oct 30, 2022 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Clermont
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilbert F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Clermont Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianchini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes 39 / 100
Clermont 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes Clermont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Clermont conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Clermont has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nantes found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Nantes VS Clermont
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes

(Home)
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0
Nantes
17 Oct
Nantes
2 : 3
Dunkerque
10 Oct
Nantes
0 : 0
Reims
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

Clermont

(Away)
23 Oct
Clermont
0 : 2
Guingamp
16 Oct
Laval
3 : 3
Clermont
10 Oct
Clermont
2 : 3
Red Star
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
18 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 1
Clermont
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 10 8 1 1 23:8 25
2 Montpellier 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Nancy 10 6 1 3 12:8 19
4 Reims 10 4 6 0 20:12 18
5 Pau 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
6 Red Star 10 5 2 3 13:12 17
7 Annecy 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
8 Metz 10 3 5 2 16:14 14
9 Dijon 10 3 3 4 17:18 12
10 Dunkerque 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 Guingamp 10 3 2 5 13:15 11
12 Sochaux 10 2 5 3 8:12 11
13 Boulogne 10 1 7 2 7:7 10
14 Rodez 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
15 Nantes 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
16 Grenoble 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Clermont 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
18 Laval 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)