Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nantes W vs Montauban W

France France

Division 2 Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nantes W play Montauban W in the Division 2 Women 2023/2024. Nantes W are favorites here. Recently, Nantes W averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.51 conceded. Montauban W averaged 1.84 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Nantes W won 3, Montauban W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Nantes W and 0.75 for Montauban W. This points to a Nantes W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Nantes W
15%
Draws
24%
Montauban W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nantes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Nantes W picked up more points recently compared to Montauban W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 27%
Montauban W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes W Montauban W
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 23 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2.3 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.51 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Montauban W
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Montauban W vs Nantes W
2:3
Feb 9, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Montauban W vs Nantes W
1:4
Sep 29, 2019 Seconde Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Montauban W
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes W 60 / 100
Montauban W 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes W Montauban W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nantes W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nantes W attacking → ← attacking Montauban W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantes W scored in 92% of their last 37 games.

Montauban W let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Nantes W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Montauban W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

75 Points in last 5 32
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Strasbourg W22156140:1151
2Nantes W22135437:2144
3Marseille W22135450:2944
4Nice W22104830:2834
5Lens W2287733:2531
6Rodez AF W2276930:3227
7Orleans W2276932:3927
8Thonon Evian W2268829:3326
9Metz W22410822:3622
10Le Mans W22571018:2722
11Albi-Marssac W22561129:5221
12Montauban W22321730:4711