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Nantes W vs Montpellier W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes
Nantes W Logo

Nantes W

1 - 1
FT
Montpellier W Logo

Montpellier W

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Fontaine A.
(Penalty)
35'
Revelli M.
46'
Sub
Kadzere R. In: Chabod C.
Out: Kadzere R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Nantes W
35%
Draws
46%
Montpellier W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montpellier W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Montpellier W haven't matched Nantes W's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Montpellier W taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 10%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes W Montpellier W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Montpellier W
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Montpellier W
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Nantes W
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Montpellier W
2:2
Nov 15, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Nantes W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes W 26 / 100
Montpellier W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Nantes W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Nantes W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nantes W VS Montpellier W
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes W

(Home)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
Page 1 of 6

Montpellier W

(Away)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)