Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nantong Haimen vs Shenzhen FC

China China

FA Cup 2023
Sun, Jun 25, 2023
2 - 1
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nantong Haimen play Shenzhen FC in the FA Cup 2023. Nantong Haimen are favorites here. Recently, Nantong Haimen averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Shenzhen FC averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Nantong Haimen won 1, Shenzhen FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 25, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Nantong Haimen and 0.94 for Shenzhen FC. This points to a Nantong Haimen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nantong Haimen
6%
Draws
4%
Shenzhen FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nantong Haimen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nantong Haimen has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shenzhen FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Nantong Haimen.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Cup 2023 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nantong Haimen Clean Sheet 20%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantong Haimen Shenzhen FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 FA Cup
Nantong Haimen vs Shenzhen FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantong Haimen Compare

Top Goalscorer Qi Dan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shenzhen FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantong Haimen 85 / 100
Shenzhen FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantong Haimen Shenzhen FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantong Haimen scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Shenzhen FC let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nantong Haimen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shenzhen FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantong Haimen VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Changzhou Lanzhiyi1
Wuhan Jiangcheng2
TBD-
Guangzhou FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Wuhan Xiaoma0
Guangxi Lanhang3
TBD-
Wuxi Wugou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shanghai Zhongchen1
Quanzhou Yassin2
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Professional-
Inner Mongolia0
Hunan Billows4
TBD-
Shanghai Jiading Huilong-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Qujing Yibu0
Wenzhou Professional1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cangzhou Mighty Lions-
Yiwu Jinxiu0
Zibo Qisheng1
TBD-
Jinan Xingzhou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Shanxi Longcheng0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
Tianjin Jinchengren0
Dalian Yingbo1
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Yili Jiucheng1
Ganzhou Ruishi2
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1
Kunming City Star2
TBD-
Jiangxi Lushan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Fuzhou Changle Jingangtui0
Beijing Technology1
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
Guangxi Junling0
Hubei Istar5
TBD-
Dandong Tengyue-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1
Chongqing Tonglianglong6
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Shanghai Shenshui0
Nantong Haimen1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen FC-
Ningxia Renfangzhong0
Taian Tiankuang2
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Qingdao May Wind0
Yunnan Yukun1
TBD-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
1/32-finals
Wuhan Jiangcheng0
Guangzhou FC1
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Guangxi Lanhang0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Quanzhou Yassin1
Yanbian Longding2
TBD-
Dalian Professional-
Hunan Billows1
Shanghai Jiading Huilong0
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Wenzhou Professional1
Qingdao West Coast3
TBD-
Cangzhou Mighty Lions-
Zibo Qisheng2
Jinan Xingzhou1
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Qingdao Red Lions1
Suzhou Dongwu2
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
Dalian Yingbo1
Foshan Nanshi2
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Ganzhou Ruishi0
Dingnan Ganlian3
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
Kunming City Star1
Jiangxi Lushan2
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Beijing Technology0
Nanjing City1
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
Hubei Istar1
Dandong Tengyue4
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Nantong Haimen2
Liaoning Tieren0
TBD-
Shenzhen FC-
Taian Tiankuang3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng4
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Yunnan Yukun2
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao0
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
1/16-finals
Guangzhou FC1
Shanghai Port3
Wuxi Wugou0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2
Yanbian Longding0
Dalian Professional2
Hunan Billows0
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Qingdao West Coast2
Cangzhou Mighty Lions1
Zibo Qisheng0
Beijing Guoan1
Suzhou Dongwu1
Meizhou Hakka2
Foshan Nanshi1
Shandong Taishan6
Dingnan Ganlian0
Nantong Zhiyun3
Jiangxi Lushan1
Wuhan Three Towns5
Nanjing City3
Changchun Yatai4
Dandong Tengyue1
Qingdao Hainiu2
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Nantong Haimen2
Shenzhen FC1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Zhejiang Professional4
Yunnan Yukun1
Shanghai Shenhua2
1/8-finals
Shanghai Port0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Dalian Professional2
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Qingdao West Coast1
Beijing Guoan4
Meizhou Hakka0
Shandong Taishan6
Nantong Zhiyun2
Wuhan Three Towns0
Changchun Yatai0
Qingdao Hainiu1
Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Nantong Haimen0
Zhejiang Professional1
Shanghai Shenhua5
Quarter-finals
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0
Dalian Professional2
Beijing Guoan1
Shandong Taishan2
Nantong Zhiyun0
Qingdao Hainiu3
Chongqing Tonglianglong0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Semi-finals
Dalian Professional0
Shandong Taishan2
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shanghai Shenhua1
Final
Shandong Taishan0
Shanghai Shenhua1