Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai

China China

League One Rugao Olympic Sports Center, Rugao
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nantong Zhiyun host Changchun Yatai in the League One. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Nantong Zhiyun at 1 goals for, 0.88 against; Changchun Yatai at 1.63 for, 2.38 against. Head-to-head, Nantong Zhiyun have won 0 to Changchun Yatai's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2024, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.25, favoring Nantong Zhiyun. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nantong Zhiyun
40%
Draws
29%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nantong Zhiyun lately — more wins on the board than Changchun Yatai.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Changchun Yatai have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nantong Zhiyun Clean Sheet 19%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun
3:2
May 5, 2024 Super League
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
2:3
Aug 4, 2023 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun
1:1
May 6, 2023 Super League
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
0:1
Oct 8, 2020 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantong Zhiyun 32 / 100
Changchun Yatai 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Nantong Zhiyun scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Nantong Zhiyun went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantong Zhiyun VS Changchun Yatai
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantong Zhiyun

(Home)
25 Jul
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1 : 1
Nantong Zhiyun
17 Jul
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 2
Nantong Zhiyun
04 Jul
Shenzhen Juniors
0 : 0
Nantong Zhiyun
27 Jun
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 3
Meizhou Hakka
14 Jun
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Yanbian Longding
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Changchun Yatai

(Away)
25 Jul
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Nanjing City
17 Jul
Changchun Yatai
1 : 5
Wuxi Wugou
05 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Changchun Yatai
27 Jun
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
13 Jun
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Dalian Kun City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power16113230:1536
2Yanbian Longding1677223:1328
3Nantong Zhiyun1576215:1127
4Guangxi Hengchen1575326:1726
5Shenzhen Juniors1675426:2126
6Ningbo Professional1683521:1824
7Wuxi Wugou1565428:1723
8Shaanxi Union1564522:1222
9Nanjing City1653815:1818
10Dingnan Ganlian1639425:2918
11Changchun Yatai1571723:2818
12Dalian Kun City1545619:2217
13Meizhou Hakka1652916:3114
14Shijiazhuang Gongfu162598:1911
15Foshan Nanshi16241016:3110
16Suzhou Dongwu1625911:228
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)