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Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Rugao Olympic Sports Center, Rugao
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Match Events

23' Event
Kalulu A.
(Penalty)
25'
Luo Xin
45'
Fan Houtai

AI Match Summary

Nantong Zhiyun in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nantong Zhiyun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Nantong Zhiyun
35%
Draws
24%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nantong Zhiyun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nantong Zhiyun lately — more wins on the board than Changchun Yatai.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Nantong Zhiyun taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nantong Zhiyun Clean Sheet 19%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 League One
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun
3:2
May 5, 2024 Super League
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
2:3
Aug 4, 2023 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun
1:1
May 6, 2023 Super League
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantong Zhiyun Compare

Top Goalscorer An Yifei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Changchun Yatai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantong Zhiyun 67 / 100
Changchun Yatai 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantong Zhiyun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Nantong Zhiyun scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nantong Zhiyun went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantong Zhiyun VS Changchun Yatai
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantong Zhiyun

(Home)
06 Oct
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 0
Ningbo Professional
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
18 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
13 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
1 : 3
Nantong Zhiyun
05 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 1
Guangdong GZ-Power
Page 1 of 6

Changchun Yatai

(Away)
10 Oct
Dalian Kun City
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 26 13 9 4 35:20 48
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 26 12 6 8 47:28 42
6 Wuxi Wugou 26 10 6 10 41:31 36
7 Yanbian Longding 26 9 9 8 34:29 36
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 26 9 8 9 23:25 35
9 Changchun Yatai 26 10 5 11 39:42 31
10 Dalian Kun City 26 7 9 10 31:38 30
11 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 26 7 10 9 30:35 28
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 26 7 4 15 25:53 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 26 3 7 16 26:54 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)