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Nantwich vs Bury FC

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nantwich play Bury FC in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nantwich averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Bury FC averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Nantwich won 0, Bury FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 16, 2024 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Nantwich and 1.56 for Bury FC. This points to a Bury FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nantwich
15%
Draws
50%
Bury FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nantwich picked up more points recently compared to Bury FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Nantwich Clean Sheet 15%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantwich Bury FC
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.45 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Nantwich vs Bury FC
1:3
Jul 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Nantwich vs Bury FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantwich Compare

Top Goalscorer Saunders C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bury FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gooden I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantwich 35 / 100
Bury FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantwich Bury FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bury FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nantwich attacking → ← attacking Bury FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantwich scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bury FC let in goals in 76% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nantwich went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bury FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 34
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88