Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napier City vs Caversham

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Napier City Logo

Napier City

1 - 1
FT
Caversham Logo

Caversham

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2003 game between Napier City and Caversham finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Napier City
15%
Draws
34%
Caversham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napier City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Napier City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Napier City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Napier City Clean Sheet 14%
Caversham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napier City Caversham
Matches Played 47 32
Wins 22 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 2.34 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2003 Football Championship
Caversham vs Napier City
0:2
Feb 8, 2003 Football Championship
Napier City vs Caversham
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napier City 84 / 100
Caversham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napier City Caversham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napier City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napier City scored in 89% of their last 47 games.

Caversham let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Napier City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Napier City VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Napier City

(Home)
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Hibiscus Coast
2 : 5
Napier City
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4
Napier City
06 Jul
Napier City
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
23 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Napier City
Page 1 of 10

Caversham

(Away)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)