Sport Picks
Napier City vs Wellington Phoenix 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
National League 
AI Match Summary
Napier City host Wellington Phoenix 2 in the National League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Napier City have averaged 2 scored and 2.29 conceded recently, against Wellington Phoenix 2's 1.94 scored and 2.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Napier City have won 2 to Wellington Phoenix 2's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2024, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.00 - 1.64) back Napier City to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Wellington Phoenix 2 have managed 1.94 goals a game lately — Napier City are scoring more at 2.
- Model gives Napier City a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Napier City here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napier City | Wellington Phoenix 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 2.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Napier City scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Wellington Phoenix 2 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Napier City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Wellington Phoenix 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Napier City
(Home)Wellington Phoenix 2
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Auckland United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Miramar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Ferrymead Bays | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Auckland City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 6 | Wellington Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 8 | Napier City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:11 | 1 |
| 10 | Auckland FC 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 11 | Birkenhead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
