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Stadium Background

Napoli U19 vs Arsenal U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo, Cercola
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Chiummariello A.
28' Event
Harriman-Annous A.
46'
Sub
Donczew A. In: Tyjon I.
Out: Donczew A.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal U19 in this UEFA Youth League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Napoli U19
15%
Draws
73%
Arsenal U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal U19 haven't matched Napoli U19's recent run of results.
  • Napoli U19 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arsenal U19 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Napoli U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Arsenal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli U19 Arsenal U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 UEFA Youth League
Napoli U19 vs Arsenal U19
1:2
Dec 11, 2013 UEFA Youth League
Napoli U19 vs Arsenal U19
2:1
Oct 2, 2013 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Napoli U19
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Arsenal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Harriman-Annous A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli U19 36 / 100
Arsenal U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli U19 Arsenal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli U19 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Arsenal U19 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli U19 VS Arsenal U19
1 Goals Scored 1.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.71
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
12 Sept
Napoli U19
2 : 3
Catanzaro U19
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
10 Dec
Benfica U19
3 : 0
Napoli U19
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal U19

(Away)
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
10 Dec
Club Brugge U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
26 Nov
Arsenal U19
4 : 2
Bayern U19
04 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
5 : 1
Arsenal U19
21 Oct
Arsenal U19
3 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern U19 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 PSG U19 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
3 VfB Stuttgart U19 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
4 Manchester United U19 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
5 Real Madrid U19 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Club Brugge U19 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
7 AS Roma U19 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
8 FC Porto U19 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
9 Villarreal U19 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Arsenal U19 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Feyenoord U19 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Slavia Prague U19 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 PSV U19 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
14 Atl. Madrid U19 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
15 Galatasaray U19 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
16 Sporting CP U19 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
17 Liverpool U19 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
18 RB Leipzig U19 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 Como U19 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Betis U19 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Lille U19 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
22 AEK U19 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
23 LASK Linz U19 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
24 Dortmund U19 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Lens U19 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Napoli U19 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Barcelona U19 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
28 Shakhtar U19 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Aston Villa U19 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
30 Fenerbahce U19 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
31 Manchester City U19 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
32 Inter U19 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
33 Bodo/Glimt U19 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
34 Slovan Bratislava U19 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
35 Viking U19 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
36 Sabah Baku U19 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League (Play Offs)