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Napoli U19 vs Spezia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napoli U19 host Spezia U19 in the Primavera 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Napoli U19 at 1.39 goals for, 1.39 against; Spezia U19 at 1.6 for, 1.47 against. Head-to-head, Napoli U19 have won 3 to Spezia U19's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.63) point toward Napoli U19. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Napoli U19
30%
Draws
23%
Spezia U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Napoli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primavera 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Napoli U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli U19 Spezia U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Primavera 2
Napoli U19 vs Spezia U19
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Napoli U19
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Primavera 2
Napoli U19 vs Spezia U19
2:0
Oct 28, 2023 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Napoli U19
1:1
May 29, 2021 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Napoli U19
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli U19 30 / 100
Spezia U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli U19 Spezia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli U19's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Spezia U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Napoli U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli U19 VS Spezia U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli U19

(Home)
20 Oct
Napoli U19
1 : 0
Bodo/Glimt U19
17 Oct
Bari U19
1 : 1
Napoli U19
13 Oct
Villarreal U19
5 : 0
Napoli U19
10 Oct
Napoli U19
1 : 0
Pisa U19
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
Page 1 of 7

Spezia U19

(Away)
17 Oct
Spezia U19
1 : 5
Latina U19
10 Oct
Spezia U19
0 : 2
Monopoli U19
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sampdoria U19 5 3 2 0 16:6 11
2 Vicenza U19 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Renate U19 5 3 2 0 11:5 11
4 Cremonese U19 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
5 Entella U19 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
6 Venezia U19 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
7 Cittadella U19 5 2 1 2 11:12 7
8 Union Brescia U19 5 2 1 2 9:12 7
9 Mantova U19 5 1 3 1 7:5 6
10 Padova U19 5 2 0 3 7:10 6
11 Udinese U19 5 2 0 3 8:13 6
12 Pro Vercelli U19 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
13 Lecco U19 5 1 2 2 4:10 5
14 Modena U19 5 1 1 3 11:12 4
15 Sudtirol U19 5 0 4 1 3:6 4
16 Reggiana U19 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catanzaro U19 5 5 0 0 15:3 15
2 Perugia U19 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
3 Palermo U19 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
4 Benevento U19 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Bari U19 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
6 Avellino U19 5 3 0 2 9:6 9
7 Pescara U19 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
8 Monopoli U19 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Latina U19 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
10 Pisa U19 5 2 0 3 9:10 6
11 Napoli U19 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
12 Spezia U19 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
13 Frosinone U19 5 1 1 3 4:13 4
14 Ascoli U19 5 0 2 3 7:14 2
15 Salernitana U19 5 0 1 4 4:20 1
16 Cosenza U19 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)