Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli vs Arezzo

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Cerri A.
40'
Sub
Meret A. In: Milinkovic-Savic V.
Out: Meret A.
46'
Sub
Di Lorenzo G. In: Mazzocchi P.
Out: Di Lorenzo G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Napoli and Arezzo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Napoli
17%
Draws
13%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Napoli have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Arezzo are scoring more at 2.13.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Napoli taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Arezzo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Arezzo
1:3
Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Arezzo
0:2
Feb 18, 2007 Serie B
Napoli vs Arezzo
2:2
Sep 19, 2006 Serie B
Arezzo vs Napoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Politano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gilli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 77 / 100
Arezzo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Napoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arezzo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Arezzo
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3
Arezzo
24 May
Napoli
1 : 0
Udinese
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3
Napoli
11 May
Napoli
2 : 3
Bologna
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Arezzo

(Away)
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1
Folgore Caratese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3
Arezzo
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0
Arezzo
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