Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli vs Arezzo

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Cerri A.
40'
Sub
Meret A. In: Milinkovic-Savic V.
Out: Meret A.
46'
Sub
Di Lorenzo G. In: Mazzocchi P.
Out: Di Lorenzo G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Napoli and Arezzo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Napoli
15%
Draws
42%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Arezzo haven't matched Napoli's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Napoli taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Arezzo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Arezzo
1:3
Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Arezzo
0:2
Feb 18, 2007 Serie B
Napoli vs Arezzo
2:2
Sep 19, 2006 Serie B
Arezzo vs Napoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Politano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gilli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 77 / 100
Arezzo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Arezzo has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Arezzo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Arezzo
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2
Napoli
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Arezzo

(Away)
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
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