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Napoli vs AS Roma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napoli host AS Roma in the Serie A. This one's hard to separate. AS Roma have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Napoli have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.71. Head-to-head, Napoli have won 2 to AS Roma's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.75) back Napoli to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Napoli
35%
Draws
30%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Napoli have won more games recently than AS Roma.
  • Napoli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Napoli Clean Sheet 12%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli AS Roma
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.71 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie A
Napoli vs AS Roma
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Napoli
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Napoli
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie A
Napoli vs AS Roma
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie A
Napoli vs AS Roma
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 38 / 100
AS Roma 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Napoli scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

AS Roma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Napoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS AS Roma
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1
Napoli
10 Oct
Napoli
3 : 0
Frosinone
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
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AS Roma

(Away)
14 Oct
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
11 Oct
Como
0 : 0
AS Roma
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
6 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
7 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
8 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
9 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)