Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli vs Bologna

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Theate A.
31'
Amondarain M.
46'
Sub
Vergara A. In: Lang N.
Out: Vergara A.

AI Match Summary

Napoli in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Napoli
30%
Draws
23%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bologna haven't matched Napoli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Napoli a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Bologna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie A
Napoli vs Bologna
1:0
May 11, 2026 Serie A
Napoli vs Bologna
2:3
Dec 22, 2025 Super Cup
Napoli vs Bologna
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs Napoli
2:0
Apr 7, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs Napoli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobotka S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bologna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 68 / 100
Bologna 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bologna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bologna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Bologna
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
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Bologna

(Away)
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)