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Napoli vs Carrarese

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hojlund R.
45' Event
Giovane
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Abiuso F. In: Finotto M.
Out: Abiuso F.

AI Match Summary

Napoli in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Napoli
6%
Draws
4%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Carrarese haven't matched Napoli's recent run of results.
  • Napoli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Carrarese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Hojlund R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Carrarese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 95 / 100
Carrarese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Carrarese conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Napoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Carrarese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Carrarese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3
Arezzo
24 May
Napoli
1 : 0
Udinese
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3
Napoli
11 May
Napoli
2 : 3
Bologna
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Carrarese

(Away)
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0
Cesena
25 Apr
Frosinone
3 : 0
Carrarese
19 Apr
Carrarese
2 : 2
Pescara
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