Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli vs Carrarese Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hojlund R.
45' Event
Giovane
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Abiuso F. In: Finotto M.
Out: Abiuso F.

AI Match Summary

Napoli in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Napoli
20%
Draws
16%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Carrarese haven't matched Napoli's recent run of results.
  • Napoli are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Carrarese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Carrarese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Hojlund R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Carrarese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 77 / 100
Carrarese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Carrarese conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Carrarese lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Carrarese
2.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
Page 1 of 6

Carrarese

(Away)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
Page 1 of 6