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Napoli vs Celta Vigo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Di Lorenzo G.
19'
38'
Di Lorenzo G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Napoli and Celta Vigo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Napoli
20%
Draws
40%
Celta Vigo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Napoli come out ahead of Celta Vigo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Celta Vigo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Napoli Clean Sheet 22%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Celta Vigo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Celta Vigo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Lorenzo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jutgla F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 29 / 100
Celta Vigo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Celta Vigo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celta Vigo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Celta Vigo conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Napoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Celta Vigo
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
17 Oct
Venezia
1 : 0
Napoli
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1
Napoli
10 Oct
Napoli
3 : 0
Frosinone
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
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Celta Vigo

(Away)
18 Oct
Celta Vigo
2 : 1
Alaves
15 Oct
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Juventus
11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
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