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Napoli vs Como - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Baturina M.
Assist: Diao A.
30' Event
Hojlund R.
Assist: Rrahmani A.
34' Event
Douvikas A.
Assist: Baturina M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Napoli and Como finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Como.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Napoli
15%
Draws
58%
Como
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Como carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Como taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Napoli Clean Sheet 11%
Como Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Como
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.72 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie A
Napoli vs Como
1:2
May 2, 2026 Serie A
Como vs Napoli
0:0
Feb 10, 2026 Coppa Italia
Napoli vs Como
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Como
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Napoli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Hojlund R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Como Compare

Top Goalscorer Baturina M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douvikas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 10 / 100
Como 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Como

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Como let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Napoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Como
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1
Napoli
01 Nov
Juventus
2 : 0
Napoli
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4
Napoli
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3
AS Roma
20 Oct
Napoli
4 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
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Como

(Away)
04 Nov
Lens
1 : 9
Como
01 Nov
Como
1 : 0
Venezia
27 Oct
Torino
1 : 3
Como
24 Oct
Como
2 : 0
Sassuolo
21 Oct
Como
4 : 1
Manchester United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)