Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli vs Girona

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Stadio Teofilo Patini, Castel di Sangro
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Di Lorenzo G.
16' Event
De Bruyne K.
23' Event
De Bruyne K.

AI Match Summary

Napoli in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Napoli
28%
Draws
22%
Girona
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Girona haven't matched Napoli's recent run of results.
  • Napoli are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Girona Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Girona
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Girona
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Girona
0:2
Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Girona
1:1
Aug 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Girona
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer De Bruyne K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Di Lorenzo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Girona Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuani C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 59 / 100
Girona 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Girona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Girona let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Napoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Girona
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3
Arezzo
24 May
Napoli
1 : 0
Udinese
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3
Napoli
11 May
Napoli
2 : 3
Bologna
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Girona

(Away)
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3
Girona
23 May
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
17 May
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0
Girona
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