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Napoli vs Lazio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napoli host Lazio in the Serie A. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Napoli have averaged 1.82 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Lazio's 2 scored and 1.09 conceded. Past meetings favor Lazio slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.19) point toward Lazio. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Napoli
20%
Draws
52%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli haven't matched Lazio's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Lazio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Napoli Clean Sheet 10%
Lazio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Lazio
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 15 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.82 2
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie A
Napoli vs Lazio
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Napoli
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Napoli
2:2
Dec 8, 2024 Serie A
Napoli vs Lazio
0:1
Dec 5, 2024 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Napoli
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 22 / 100
Lazio 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Napoli scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Lazio conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Napoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Lazio
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4
Napoli
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3
AS Roma
20 Oct
Napoli
4 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
17 Oct
Venezia
1 : 0
Napoli
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1
Napoli
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Lazio

(Away)
27 Oct
Sassuolo
2 : 6
Lazio
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
18 Oct
Juventus
0 : 3
Lazio
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
03 Oct
Lazio
3 : 3
Juve Stabia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 9 8 1 0 25:10 25
2 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
3 AS Roma 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 AC Milan 9 5 3 1 18:11 18
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22:14 17
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17:11 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
9 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
10 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
11 Bologna 9 3 2 4 12:12 11
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16:17 11
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
16 Monza 9 2 1 6 16:22 7
17 Udinese 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
18 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11:21 5
19 Parma 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6:19 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)