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Napoli vs Osasuna

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Anguissa F.
27' Event
Politano M.
46'
Sub
Hojlund R. In: Lucca L.
Out: Hojlund R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Napoli and Osasuna finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Napoli
20%
Draws
33%
Osasuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Osasuna haven't matched Napoli's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Napoli taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Osasuna
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Osasuna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Politano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucca L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Osasuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Budimir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 95 / 100
Osasuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Osasuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Osasuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Napoli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Osasuna
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2
Aris
08 Aug
Napoli
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
05 Aug
Napoli
2 : 1
Osasuna
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3
Arezzo
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Osasuna

(Away)
15 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Osasuna
08 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 2
Al Ain
05 Aug
Napoli
2 : 1
Osasuna
01 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2
Osasuna
29 Jul
Ipswich
1 : 2
Osasuna
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