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Napoli vs Torino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napoli host Torino in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Torino have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Napoli have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.73. Head-to-head, Napoli have won 3 to Torino's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.38, favoring Napoli. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Napoli
15%
Draws
48%
Torino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Napoli come out ahead of Torino on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Napoli Clean Sheet 17%
Torino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Torino
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Serie A
Napoli vs Torino
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Serie A
Torino vs Napoli
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Torino
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Serie A
Torino vs Napoli
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Serie A
Napoli vs Torino
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 31 / 100
Torino 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Torino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Torino has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Napoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Torino
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1
Napoli
01 Nov
Juventus
2 : 0
Napoli
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4
Napoli
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3
AS Roma
20 Oct
Napoli
4 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

Torino

(Away)
01 Nov
Frosinone
2 : 0
Torino
27 Oct
Torino
1 : 3
Como
23 Oct
Torino
3 : 2
Monza
19 Oct
Parma
0 : 3
Torino
12 Oct
Torino
2 : 1
Udinese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)