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Napoli W vs Real Brasilia W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women 2020
Sun, Jan 17, 2021
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napoli W play Real Brasilia W in the Brasileiro A2 Women 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Napoli W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. Real Brasilia W averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Napoli W won 1, Real Brasilia W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 7, 2021 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Napoli W and 0.80 for Real Brasilia W. This points to a Napoli W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Napoli W
35%
Draws
31%
Real Brasilia W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Napoli W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli W picked up more points recently compared to Real Brasilia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 26%
Real Brasilia W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli W Real Brasilia W
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Napoli W vs Real Brasilia W
1:1
Jan 17, 2021 Brasileiro A2 Women
Napoli W vs Real Brasilia W
2:1
Jan 10, 2021 Brasileiro A2 Women
Real Brasilia W vs Napoli W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli W 36 / 100
Real Brasilia W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli W Real Brasilia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Napoli W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Napoli W attacking → ← attacking Real Brasilia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Real Brasilia W let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Napoli W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Real Brasilia W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 45
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38