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Napoli W vs Sassuolo W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo, Cercola
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
De Rita A.
Assist: Clelland L.
38'
De Rita A.
56'
Sub
Faurskov L. In: Kainulainen E.
Out: Faurskov L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Napoli W
15%
Draws
59%
Sassuolo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sassuolo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli W have won more games recently than Sassuolo W.
  • Model gives Sassuolo W a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 12%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli W Sassuolo W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Napoli W
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Napoli W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli W Compare

Top Goalscorer Floe C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sassuolo W Compare

Top Goalscorer De Rita A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli W 27 / 100
Sassuolo W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli W Sassuolo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sassuolo W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Napoli W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli W VS Sassuolo W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli W

(Home)
26 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 1
Napoli W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Inter W
6 : 0
Napoli W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1
Sassuolo W
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Sassuolo W

(Away)
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
AS Roma W
0 : 1
Sassuolo W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)