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Napredak vs Dubocica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napredak host Dubocica in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Napredak at 0.89 goals for, 1.5 against; Dubocica at 1.04 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Napredak have won 2 to Dubocica's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.38, favoring Napredak. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Napredak
35%
Draws
39%
Dubocica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dubocica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dubocica average 1.04 goals a game right now, well clear of Napredak's 0.89.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Napredak Clean Sheet 17%
Dubocica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napredak Dubocica
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.89 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Napredak vs Dubocica
1:0
Nov 17, 2023 Club Friendly
Napredak vs Dubocica
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napredak 36 / 100
Dubocica 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napredak Dubocica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dubocica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napredak found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Dubocica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Napredak stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napredak VS Dubocica
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Napredak

(Home)
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0
Loznica
29 Sept
FK Vozdovac
0 : 0
Napredak
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
Page 1 of 6

Dubocica

(Away)
04 Oct
Jedinstvo Ub
0 : 0
Dubocica
28 Sept
Dubocica
1 : 1
Javor
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0
Dubocica
16 Sept
Dubocica
2 : 0
Teleoptik
11 Sept
Metalac
5 : 0
Dubocica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 12 8 1 3 21:16 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24:13 24
3 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 29:14 23
5 Vrsac 12 7 1 4 16:11 22
6 Metalac 12 5 3 4 16:12 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 13:15 17
8 Dubocica 12 4 4 4 13:15 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 11:11 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 12 4 3 5 18:23 15
12 Proleter 023 12 3 4 5 19:15 13
13 Graficar Beograd 12 3 1 8 16:23 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 11:21 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)