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Napredak vs Graficar Beograd Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga Stadion Mladost Kruševac, Kruševac
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sreckovic N.
58'
Milic A.
58'
Bijelovic L.

AI Match Summary

Napredak in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napredak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Napredak
15%
Draws
51%
Graficar Beograd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Graficar Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Napredak haven't matched Graficar Beograd's recent run of results.
  • Graficar Beograd are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Napredak Clean Sheet 15%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napredak Graficar Beograd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Napredak vs Graficar Beograd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napredak Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuparevic F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Graficar Beograd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napredak 27 / 100
Graficar Beograd 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napredak Graficar Beograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Graficar Beograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Graficar Beograd has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Graficar Beograd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Napredak found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Napredak VS Graficar Beograd
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napredak

(Home)
29 Sept
FK Vozdovac
0 : 0
Napredak
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
05 Sept
Napredak
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Ub
Page 1 of 6

Graficar Beograd

(Away)
28 Sept
Graficar Beograd
4 : 1
Teleoptik
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0
Graficar Beograd
17 Sept
Graficar Beograd
3 : 0
OFK Bor 1919
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 1
Graficar Beograd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 11 8 1 2 20:13 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 11 5 6 0 20:12 21
3 Smederevo 11 6 3 2 20:13 21
4 Vrsac 11 7 0 4 16:11 21
5 Javor 11 5 5 1 26:13 20
6 Metalac 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
7 Spartak Subotica 11 4 3 4 18:17 15
8 Loznica 11 3 6 2 16:16 15
9 Dubocica 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
10 FK Vozdovac 10 4 2 4 11:10 14
11 Napredak 10 4 1 5 10:15 13
12 Proleter 023 11 2 4 5 13:15 10
13 Graficar Beograd 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
14 OFK Bor 1919 11 2 2 7 7:19 8
15 Jedinstvo Ub 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
16 Teleoptik 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)