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Napredak vs Loznica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sreckovic N.
23' Event
Sreckovic N.
26'
Marinkovic N.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Napredak and Loznica finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Napredak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Napredak
20%
Draws
51%
Loznica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loznica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Loznica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Napredak a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Napredak have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Napredak Clean Sheet 68%
Loznica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napredak Loznica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Napredak vs Loznica
3:0
Apr 2, 2016 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Napredak vs Loznica
1:0
Sep 12, 2015 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Napredak
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napredak Compare

Top Goalscorer Sreckovic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stuparevic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Loznica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napredak 50 / 100
Loznica 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napredak Loznica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napredak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napredak scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Loznica conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Napredak remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Napredak VS Loznica
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Napredak

(Home)
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0
Loznica
29 Sept
FK Vozdovac
0 : 0
Napredak
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
Page 1 of 6

Loznica

(Away)
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0
Loznica
28 Sept
Loznica
2 : 0
Spartak Subotica
21 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3
Loznica
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 12 8 1 3 21:16 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24:13 24
3 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 29:14 23
5 Vrsac 12 7 1 4 16:11 22
6 Metalac 12 5 3 4 16:12 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 13:15 17
8 Dubocica 12 4 4 4 13:15 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 11:11 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 12 4 3 5 18:23 15
12 Proleter 023 12 3 4 5 19:15 13
13 Graficar Beograd 12 3 1 8 16:23 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 11:21 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)