Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napredak vs Vrsac

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga Stadion Mladost Kruševac, Kruševac
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Pivas A.
25'
Serdar L.
44'
Sreckovic N.

AI Match Summary

Vrsac in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vrsac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Napredak
15%
Draws
64%
Vrsac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vrsac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Napredak haven't matched Vrsac's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vrsac a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Napredak Clean Sheet 14%
Vrsac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napredak Vrsac
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.81 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Napredak vs Vrsac
1:2
Dec 6, 2023 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Vrsac vs Napredak
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napredak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vrsac Compare

Top Goalscorer Glavinic D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napredak 23 / 100
Vrsac 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napredak Vrsac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrsac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrsac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Napredak's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Napredak stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napredak VS Vrsac
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Napredak

(Home)
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
05 Sept
Napredak
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Ub
30 Aug
Javor
3 : 0
Napredak
Page 1 of 6

Vrsac

(Away)
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Vrsac
1 : 0
OFK Bor 1919
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Spartak Subotica
2 : 0
Vrsac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 11 8 1 2 20:13 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 11 5 6 0 20:12 21
3 Smederevo 11 6 3 2 20:13 21
4 Vrsac 11 7 0 4 16:11 21
5 Javor 11 5 5 1 26:13 20
6 Metalac 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
7 Spartak Subotica 11 4 3 4 18:17 15
8 Loznica 11 3 6 2 16:16 15
9 Dubocica 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
10 FK Vozdovac 10 4 2 4 11:10 14
11 Napredak 10 4 1 5 10:15 13
12 Proleter 023 11 2 4 5 13:15 10
13 Graficar Beograd 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
14 OFK Bor 1919 11 2 2 7 7:19 8
15 Jedinstvo Ub 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
16 Teleoptik 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)