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Napredok vs Mladost Carev Dvor

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Division 1 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2014/2015 game between Napredok and Mladost Carev Dvor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mladost Carev Dvor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Napredok
15%
Draws
85%
Mladost Carev Dvor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mladost Carev Dvor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Napredok haven't matched Mladost Carev Dvor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Napredok a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mladost Carev Dvor have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Napredok Clean Sheet 20%
Mladost Carev Dvor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napredok Mladost Carev Dvor
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 23 25
Goals Scored 0.79 0.66
Goals Conceded 2.79 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2015 2. MFL
Napredok vs Mladost Carev Dvor
1:2
Oct 25, 2014 2. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Napredok
3:0
Aug 16, 2014 2. MFL
Napredok vs Mladost Carev Dvor
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napredok 42 / 100
Mladost Carev Dvor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napredok Mladost Carev Dvor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Carev Dvor has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Mladost Carev Dvor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Napredok found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Napredok VS Mladost Carev Dvor
0 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Napredok

(Home)
24 Jan
Pobeda
3 : 0
Napredok
23 May
Vellazerimi
3 : 0
Napredok
16 May
Napredok
2 : 3
Drita
09 May
FK Skopje
4 : 0
Napredok
02 May
Napredok
0 : 1
Gorno Lisice
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Mladost Carev Dvor

(Away)
12 Oct
Mladost Carev Dvor
:
Met. Skopje
21 Sept
Met. Skopje
:
Mladost Carev Dvor
15 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 4
Renova
08 May
Met. Skopje
4 : 0
Mladost Carev Dvor
04 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 2
Turnovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkupi 27 16 5 6 44:19 53
2 Mladost Carev Dvor 27 14 5 8 40:27 47
3 KF Gostivar 27 12 8 7 31:27 44
4 Makedonija GP 27 11 8 8 29:18 41
5 FK Skopje 27 10 9 8 27:19 39
6 Vellazerimi 27 10 9 8 31:24 39
7 Miravci 27 9 11 7 28:20 38
8 Gorno Lisice 27 10 5 12 29:38 35
9 Drita 27 8 3 16 26:38 27
10 Napredok 27 2 3 22 23:78 9
Relegation - Division 1 2014/2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - First League 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2014/2015 (Promotion)