Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naprijed Hreljin vs Cres

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naprijed Hreljin in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naprijed Hreljin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Naprijed Hreljin
15%
Draws
59%
Cres
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cres lately — more wins on the board than Naprijed Hreljin.
  • Cres are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Naprijed Hreljin Clean Sheet 16%
Cres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprijed Hreljin Cres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL West
Cres vs Naprijed Hreljin
7:1
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Cres
2:1
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL West
Cres vs Naprijed Hreljin
1:1
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Cres
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprijed Hreljin 10 / 100
Cres 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprijed Hreljin Cres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Naprijed Hreljin found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cres conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Naprijed Hreljin has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naprijed Hreljin VS Cres
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naprijed Hreljin

(Home)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Naprijed Hreljin
1 : 4
NK Pomorac
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Naprijed Hreljin
2 : 1
Vinodol
Page 1 of 6

Cres

(Away)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)