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Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Busko-Zdroj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mamrol W.
17' Event
Mamrol W.
60' Event
Kaczowka K.

AI Match Summary

Naprzod Jedrzejow in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naprzod Jedrzejow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
15%
Draws
24%
Busko-Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Naprzod Jedrzejow have won more games recently than Busko-Zdroj.
  • Naprzod Jedrzejow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 20%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprzod Jedrzejow Busko-Zdroj
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Busko-Zdroj
4:1
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Busko-Zdroj vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamrol W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Siudak K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Busko-Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaczowka K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprzod Jedrzejow 85 / 100
Busko-Zdroj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprzod Jedrzejow Busko-Zdroj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naprzod Jedrzejow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busko-Zdroj has conceded goals in 90% of their last 21 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Naprzod Jedrzejow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Naprzod Jedrzejow scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Naprzod Jedrzejow VS Busko-Zdroj
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naprzod Jedrzejow

(Home)
11 Oct
Naprzod Jedrzejow
1 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
Page 1 of 6

Busko-Zdroj

(Away)
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0
Wisla II
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)