Sport Picks
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Chelmianka Chelm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
24'
24'
Kuzdra J.
37'
37'
Okoniewski K.
90'
90'
Martinez A.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Chelmianka Chelm have won more games recently than Naprzod Jedrzejow.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Naprzod Jedrzejow taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Chelmianka Chelm have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 13%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naprzod Jedrzejow | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:2
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuzdra J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Okoniewski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naprzod Jedrzejow 84 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naprzod Jedrzejow Chelmianka Chelm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Naprzod Jedrzejow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Naprzod Jedrzejow remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Naprzod Jedrzejow scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Chelmianka Chelm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Naprzod Jedrzejow VS Chelmianka Chelm
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Naprzod Jedrzejow
(Home) 03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3 Naprzod Jedrzejow
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
30 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 0 Wisla II
23 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
15 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 3
Chelmianka Chelm
(Away) 10 Oct
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Star Starachowice
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
23 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
15 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 3 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
