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Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Hetman Zamosc - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Skiba D.
24' Event
Plonka D.
29' Event
Stanek K.

AI Match Summary

Naprzod Jedrzejow in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naprzod Jedrzejow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
30%
Draws
27%
Hetman Zamosc
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Naprzod Jedrzejow have won more games recently than Hetman Zamosc.
  • Naprzod Jedrzejow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 10%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprzod Jedrzejow Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.96 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Hetman Zamosc
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Plonka D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stanek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Top Goalscorer Skiba D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprzod Jedrzejow 83 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprzod Jedrzejow Hetman Zamosc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naprzod Jedrzejow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hetman Zamosc conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Naprzod Jedrzejow has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Naprzod Jedrzejow's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Naprzod Jedrzejow VS Hetman Zamosc
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naprzod Jedrzejow

(Home)
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2
Naprzod Jedrzejow
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Hetman Zamosc

(Away)
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)