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Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Korona Kielce II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Stanek K.
10' Event
Nojszewski J.
20' Event
Stanek K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Naprzod Jedrzejow in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naprzod Jedrzejow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
15%
Draws
34%
Korona Kielce II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Korona Kielce II at 1.97 per game, Naprzod Jedrzejow at 1.93.
  • Naprzod Jedrzejow are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Korona Kielce II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 12%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprzod Jedrzejow Korona Kielce II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Korona Kielce II
5:4
Apr 17, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce II vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Korona Kielce II
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanek K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dias Oliveira M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nojszewski J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Podwysocki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprzod Jedrzejow 74 / 100
Korona Kielce II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprzod Jedrzejow Korona Kielce II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naprzod Jedrzejow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Naprzod Jedrzejow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Naprzod Jedrzejow scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Naprzod Jedrzejow VS Korona Kielce II
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naprzod Jedrzejow

(Home)
11 Oct
Naprzod Jedrzejow
1 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
Page 1 of 6

Korona Kielce II

(Away)
10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0
Biala Podlaska
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)