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NAPSA Stars vs Indeni

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
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Match Events

42' Event
Kayombo E.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between NAPSA Stars and Indeni finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NAPSA Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
NAPSA Stars
20%
Draws
22%
Indeni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • NAPSA Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans NAPSA Stars's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Indeni Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAPSA Stars Indeni
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 14 5
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 0.76 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Indeni
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Super League
Indeni vs NAPSA Stars
1:1
May 16, 2021 Super League
Indeni vs NAPSA Stars
3:4
Jan 23, 2021 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Indeni
1:1
Aug 30, 2014 Super League
Indeni vs NAPSA Stars
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NAPSA Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayombo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Indeni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAPSA Stars 95 / 100
Indeni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAPSA Stars Indeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAPSA Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indeni has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: NAPSA Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Indeni lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NAPSA Stars VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NAPSA Stars

(Home)
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
12 May
NAPSA Stars
2 : 0
Zanaco
03 May
Kabwe
1 : 0
NAPSA Stars
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
Page 1 of 8

Indeni

(Away)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Indeni
0 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
19 Apr
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Indeni
09 Apr
Indeni
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Indeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Main)