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NAPSA Stars vs Mutondo Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between NAPSA Stars and Mutondo Stars finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NAPSA Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
NAPSA Stars
33%
Draws
27%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • NAPSA Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives NAPSA Stars a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAPSA Stars Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs NAPSA Stars
1:1
May 17, 2025 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Mutondo Stars
0:0
Dec 19, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs NAPSA Stars
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs NAPSA Stars
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAPSA Stars 40 / 100
Mutondo Stars 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAPSA Stars Mutondo Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NAPSA Stars scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Mutondo Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: NAPSA Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NAPSA Stars VS Mutondo Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%