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NAPSA Stars vs Nkana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NAPSA Stars host Nkana in the Super League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: NAPSA Stars at 0.78 goals for, 0.88 against; Nkana at 0.94 for, 0.87 against. Past meetings favor NAPSA Stars slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.88 - 0.76) back Nkana to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
NAPSA Stars
30%
Draws
33%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • NAPSA Stars haven't matched Nkana's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Nkana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAPSA Stars Nkana
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.78 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs NAPSA Stars
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs NAPSA Stars
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAPSA Stars 31 / 100
Nkana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAPSA Stars Nkana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAPSA Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NAPSA Stars scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Nkana conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: NAPSA Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

NAPSA Stars VS Nkana
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NAPSA Stars

(Home)
03 Oct
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Muza Fc
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
11 Sept
Zanaco
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
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Nkana

(Away)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)