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NAPSA Stars vs Prison Leopards

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

NAPSA Stars in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored NAPSA Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
NAPSA Stars
15%
Draws
40%
Prison Leopards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • NAPSA Stars have won more games recently than Prison Leopards.
  • Win probability leans NAPSA Stars's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Prison Leopards Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAPSA Stars Prison Leopards
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.84 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Prison Leopards vs NAPSA Stars
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Prison Leopards
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Prison Leopards vs NAPSA Stars
2:0
May 15, 2024 Super League
Prison Leopards vs NAPSA Stars
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Prison Leopards
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAPSA Stars 59 / 100
Prison Leopards 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAPSA Stars Prison Leopards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAPSA Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAPSA Stars found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Prison Leopards has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

NAPSA Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

NAPSA Stars VS Prison Leopards
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NAPSA Stars

(Home)
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
11 Sept
Zanaco
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
12 May
NAPSA Stars
2 : 0
Zanaco
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Prison Leopards

(Away)
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Prison Leopards
02 May
Prison Leopards
0 : 2
Muza Fc
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