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Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Tanabe K.
Assist: Suzuki J.
27' Event
Togashi Y.
Assist: Kawanishi S.
45'
Kikuchi S.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Nara Club and Renofa Yamaguchi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nara Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nara Club
15%
Draws
39%
Renofa Yamaguchi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nara Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Renofa Yamaguchi come out ahead of Nara Club on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nara Club a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 17%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nara Club Renofa Yamaguchi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 J3 League
Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nara Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Togashi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kawasaki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Renofa Yamaguchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanabe K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nara Club 39 / 100
Renofa Yamaguchi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nara Club Renofa Yamaguchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nara Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nara Club's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Nara Club remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Renofa Yamaguchi conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nara Club VS Renofa Yamaguchi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nara Club

(Home)
10 Oct
Nara Club
2 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Nara Club
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
Page 1 of 6

Renofa Yamaguchi

(Away)
11 Oct
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)