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Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kawanishi S.
Assist: Morita R.
41' Event
Kawasaki S.
Assist: Ishii T.
46'
Sub
Farzan Sana M. In: Matsumoto K.
Out: Farzan Sana M.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Nara Club and Thespakusatsu Gunma finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nara Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Nara Club
15%
Draws
26%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nara Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nara Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Nara Club taking it.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nara Club here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 20%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nara Club Thespakusatsu Gunma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.86 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 J3 League
Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nara Club
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 J3 League
Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nara Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawanishi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kawasaki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nara Club 85 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nara Club Thespakusatsu Gunma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nara Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nara Club's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Thespakusatsu Gunma conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nara Club remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nara Club VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nara Club

(Home)
03 Nov
Nara Club
3 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
31 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2
Nara Club
24 Oct
Nara Club
1 : 3
Ryukyu
21 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 0
Nara Club
17 Oct
Kanazawa
0 : 1
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

Thespakusatsu Gunma

(Away)
03 Nov
Nara Club
3 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
31 Oct
Kanazawa
4 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
24 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
21 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
17 Oct
Gainare Tottori
1 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 15 9 4 2 29:18 31
2 Nara Club 15 9 2 4 28:21 29
3 Gifu 15 9 1 5 28:15 28
4 SC Sagamihara 15 8 4 3 25:15 28
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15 8 3 4 20:12 27
6 FC Osaka 15 7 5 3 25:15 26
7 Ehime 15 8 2 5 30:25 26
8 Kumamoto 15 6 6 3 17:10 24
9 Ryukyu 15 7 2 6 23:20 23
10 Nagano Parceiro 15 7 2 6 22:20 23
11 Kanazawa 15 6 2 7 27:21 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15 5 4 6 21:23 19
13 Tochigi SC 15 4 6 5 14:16 18
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15 4 5 6 15:17 17
15 Reilac Shiga 15 5 2 8 19:27 17
16 Fukushima United 15 4 3 8 27:32 15
17 Gainare Tottori 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 15 4 1 10 12:29 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
20 Kochi United 15 2 3 10 10:31 9
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)