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Nardo vs Kolstad

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Heggelund P.
45' Event
Heggelund P.
61' Event
Heggelund P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Nardo and Kolstad finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nardo
15%
Draws
21%
Kolstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kolstad haven't matched Nardo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nardo a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nardo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nardo Clean Sheet 13%
Kolstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Kolstad
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 24 3
Draws 8 1
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 2.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Kolstad
8:0
Apr 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Nardo
0:5
Mar 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Nardo vs Kolstad
5:1
Oct 1, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Kolstad
3:0
Apr 18, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Nardo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Heggelund P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hustad I. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Kolstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 84 / 100
Kolstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Kolstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo scored in 91% of their last 44 games.

Kolstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Nardo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
21 Sept
Nardo
4 : 1
Ranheim 2
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
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Kolstad

(Away)
29 Oct
Nardo
8 : 0
Kolstad
22 Oct
Kolstad
4 : 2
Mosjoen
14 Oct
Byasen
17 : 0
Kolstad
07 Oct
Kolstad
0 : 3
Tiller
30 Sept
Strindheim
3 : 0
Kolstad
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