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Nardo vs Melhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Kaplanski O.
43' Event
Johansen M.
67' Event
Totland P.

AI Match Summary

Melhus in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Nardo
15%
Draws
32%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Melhus have won more games recently than Nardo.
  • Win probability leans Nardo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nardo Clean Sheet 16%
Melhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Melhus
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.52 2.16
Goals Conceded 2 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Melhus
1:3
May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Nardo
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Nardo
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Melhus
2:0
Aug 10, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Melhus vs Nardo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaplanski O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Totland P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 84 / 100
Melhus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nardo scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Melhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Nardo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Melhus
4.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
21 Oct
Aalesund 2
3 : 3
Nardo
17 Oct
Nardo
11 : 0
Herd
10 Oct
Byasen
1 : 3
Nardo
03 Oct
Nardo
0 : 1
Strindheim
26 Sept
Ntnui
2 : 5
Nardo
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Melhus

(Away)
19 Oct
Melhus
3 : 0
Ranheim 2
12 Oct
Melhus
0 : 1
Aalesund 2
02 Oct
Rosenborg 2
1 : 4
Melhus
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
20 Sept
Molde 2
1 : 0
Melhus
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