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Nardo vs Tronder-Lyn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Immerstein O.
45' Event
Frostrud Larsen F.
52' Event
Immerstein O.

AI Match Summary

Nardo in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nardo
15%
Draws
28%
Tronder-Lyn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nardo lately — more wins on the board than Tronder-Lyn.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Nardo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Tronder-Lyn Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Tronder-Lyn
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.87 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Tronder-Lyn
3:2
Apr 22, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tronder-Lyn vs Nardo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kahsay Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Frostrud Larsen F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tronder-Lyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Immerstein O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 95 / 100
Tronder-Lyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Tronder-Lyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tronder-Lyn conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Tronder-Lyn's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Tronder-Lyn
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
25 Jul
Spjelkavik
4 : 2
Nardo
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Tronder-Lyn

(Away)
22 Aug
Tronder-Lyn
0 : 5
Kristiansund
29 Oct
Kristiansund 2
4 : 1
Tronder-Lyn
22 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
3 : 2
Tiller
14 Oct
Nardo
3 : 2
Tronder-Lyn
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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