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Naron vs Dorneda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013
Naron Logo

Naron

2 - 0
FT
Dorneda Logo

Dorneda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naron in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Naron
20%
Draws
70%
Dorneda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dorneda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Dorneda have won more games recently than Naron.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dorneda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Naron Clean Sheet 20%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naron Dorneda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Dorneda
2:0
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Naron
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naron 12 / 100
Dorneda 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naron Dorneda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorneda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorneda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Naron's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Naron remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dorneda
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naron

(Home)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
Page 1 of 6

Dorneda

(Away)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 32 1 5 98:22 97
2 Celta Vigo B 38 22 11 5 75:34 77
3 Compostela 38 21 10 7 64:28 73
4 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 76:33 71
5 Pontevedra 38 17 12 9 57:45 63
6 CD AS Pontes 38 18 5 15 56:53 59
7 SD Ordenes 38 14 13 11 45:38 55
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 10 14 39:53 52
9 Alondras 38 14 10 14 48:45 52
10 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 12 14 45:42 48
11 Cerceda 38 12 12 14 35:44 48
12 Somozas 38 11 14 13 41:45 47
13 Betanzos CF 38 13 8 17 48:61 47
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
15 SD Negreira 38 12 9 17 37:56 45
16 Dorneda 38 13 6 19 37:55 45
17 Villalonga 38 11 12 15 44:50 45
18 Bergantinos 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Celtiga 38 5 10 23 28:71 25
20 Naron 38 4 8 26 30:85 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)