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Naron vs Somozas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Somozas in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Naron
35%
Draws
56%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Naron haven't matched Somozas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Somozas's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Naron Clean Sheet 20%
Somozas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naron Somozas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Naron
0:0
Sep 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Somozas
1:3
Feb 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Somozas
0:4
Sep 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Naron
1:1
Jan 16, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Naron
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naron 12 / 100
Somozas 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naron Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Naron scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Naron stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Somozas
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naron

(Home)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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Somozas

(Away)
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)