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Narpes Kraft vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Narpes Kraft play Lapuan Virkia Lapua in the Kakkonen Group C 2016. Narpes Kraft are favorites here. Recently, Narpes Kraft averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. Lapuan Virkia Lapua averaged 4.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Narpes Kraft won 4, Lapuan Virkia Lapua won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 14, 2016 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Narpes Kraft and 3.63 for Lapuan Virkia Lapua. This points to a Narpes Kraft double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Narpes Kraft
6%
Draws
4%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Narpes Kraft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Narpes Kraft has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lapuan Virkia Lapua.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Narpes Kraft.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Kakkonen Group C 2016 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Narpes Kraft Clean Sheet 68%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narpes Kraft Lapuan Virkia Lapua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 26
Goals Scored 2.13 4.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 4.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
4:1
May 28, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs Narpes Kraft
1:4
Aug 24, 2006 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs Narpes Kraft
0:4
Jun 1, 2006 Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
4:0
Jul 31, 2005 Kakkonen West
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs Narpes Kraft
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narpes Kraft Compare

Top Goalscorer Boling K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Granfors J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lapuan Virkia Lapua Compare

Top Goalscorer Pontinen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.09
Avg xA / game 2.5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narpes Kraft 95 / 100
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narpes Kraft Lapuan Virkia Lapua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narpes Kraft scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Lapuan Virkia Lapua let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Narpes Kraft went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lapuan Virkia Lapua lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narpes Kraft VS Lapuan Virkia Lapua
2.13 Goals Scored 4.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1OPS22153470:3148
2MuSa22153451:1848
3AC Kajaani22143584:2445
4GBK Kokkola22124660:2540
5TP-4722114737:3437
6YPA22103940:3633
7Narpes Kraft2294939:3931
8JS Hercules22841039:4128
9VIFK22831137:3527
10PPT22741140:4325
11Santa Claus22221824:1028
12Lapuan Virkia Lapua22211923:1167