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Narpes Kraft vs Vaajakoski

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Mosedal, Närpiö
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kadic B.
14' Event
Tuppurainen A.
18'
Sifet B.

AI Match Summary

Vaajakoski in this Kakkonen Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Narpes Kraft
15%
Draws
34%
Vaajakoski
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narpes Kraft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Narpes Kraft have won more games recently than Vaajakoski.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Vaajakoski taking it.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Narpes Kraft Clean Sheet 10%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narpes Kraft Vaajakoski
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 2.32 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft vs Vaajakoski
2:3
May 9, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
4:5
Aug 12, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
1:0
May 21, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft vs Vaajakoski
0:3
Sep 18, 2022 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narpes Kraft Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadic B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibric N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Sainila E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tuppurainen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narpes Kraft 18 / 100
Vaajakoski 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narpes Kraft Vaajakoski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaajakoski has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Narpes Kraft scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Vaajakoski registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narpes Kraft VS Vaajakoski
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Narpes Kraft

(Home)
19 Sept
Narpes Kraft
7 : 0
VPS 2
12 Sept
GBK Kokkola
5 : 0
Narpes Kraft
06 Sept
Huima / Urho
5 : 0
Narpes Kraft
02 Sept
Narpes Kraft
2 : 1
Jaro 2
28 Aug
JBK
5 : 0
Narpes Kraft
Page 1 of 7

Vaajakoski

(Away)
19 Sept
Vaajakoski
0 : 1
TP-47
12 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
2 : 1
Vaajakoski
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
15 Aug
Vaajakoski
1 : 1
GBK Kokkola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huima / Urho 18 11 3 4 50:26 36
2 GBK Kokkola 18 10 2 6 43:33 32
3 JBK 18 10 1 7 37:24 31
4 VPS 2 18 7 4 7 47:36 25
5 Jaro 2 18 8 1 9 33:54 25
6 Narpes Kraft 18 7 2 9 50:45 23
7 TP-47 18 6 5 7 28:35 23
8 Vaajakoski 18 6 3 9 34:44 21
9 JS Hercules 18 6 3 9 31:42 21
10 SJK Akatemia 2 18 5 4 9 27:41 19
Promotion - Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage)