Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 play Johvi Phoenix in the Esiliiga B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Narva U21 averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Johvi Phoenix averaged 2.48 goals scored and 2.15 conceded. In past meetings, Narva U21 won 1, Johvi Phoenix won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Narva U21 and 2.38 for Johvi Phoenix. This points to a Narva U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Narva U21

15%

Draws

40%

Johvi Phoenix

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Narva U21 picked up more points recently compared to Johvi Phoenix.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%

Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Narva U21	Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	17	17
Draws	4	3
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	2.6	2.48
Goals Conceded	1.4	2.15
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Esiliiga B

Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Mar 28, 2026 Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

4:2

Oct 8, 2025 Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B

Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Jul 6, 2025 Esiliiga B

Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoyanov B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 43 / 100

Johvi Phoenix 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Narva U21 Johvi Phoenix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Narva U21 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Narva U21 attacking → ← attacking Johvi Phoenix

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Johvi Phoenix let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Narva U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Johvi Phoenix lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 54

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tammeka Tartu U21	18	11	2	5	52:36	35
2	Tulevik	18	11	1	6	55:37	34
3	Narva U21	17	10	2	5	43:26	32
4	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	18	10	2	6	54:38	32
5	Johvi Phoenix	18	10	1	7	45:45	31
6	Levadia U19	18	9	2	7	44:33	29
7	Tabasalu	18	8	0	10	31:50	24
8	Tartu Kalev	18	7	1	10	39:40	22
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	18	4	2	12	37:42	14
10	Legion	17	2	1	14	14:67	7