Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva U21 vs Levadia U19

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 host Levadia U19 in the Esiliiga B. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Narva U21 at 2.61 goals for, 1.29 against; Levadia U19 at 2.57 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor Narva U21 slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.81) point toward Narva U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
51%
Levadia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Levadia U19.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Levadia U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Levadia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Levadia U19
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.61 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Narva U21
1:0
May 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Levadia U19
4:4
Apr 12, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Narva U21
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 27 / 100
Levadia U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Levadia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Narva U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Levadia U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Narva U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Levadia U19
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Levadia U19

(Away)
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
31 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 5
Levadia U19
24 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Legion
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
16 Aug
Tulevik
1 : 4
Levadia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia U19 27 17 2 8 71:46 53
2 Narva U21 26 16 3 7 65:34 51
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 27 14 4 9 71:56 46
4 Johvi Phoenix 27 14 3 10 61:61 45
5 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 27 13 4 10 81:55 43
6 Tartu Kalev 27 13 2 12 65:51 41
7 Tulevik 27 12 5 10 67:54 41
8 Tabasalu 27 10 2 15 40:73 32
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 27 6 5 16 52:70 23
10 Legion 26 3 2 21 23:96 11
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)